El 5G será una de las transformaciones tecnológicas más impactantes

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CLAVES:

  • A medida que la movilidad se expande más allá de los smartphones, las comunicaciones 5G se convertirán en una de las trasformaciones tecnológicas más impactantes.
  • Esta tecnología, que por ahora sigue en fases tempranas de desarrollo, comenzará a desplegarse comercialmente para el 2020.
  • Según la última edición del Ericsson Mobility Report, en 2022 habrá 550 millones de suscriptores 5G.
  • Además Ericsson dice que el negocio del 5G tendrá un valor de 1.233 millones de dólares para el año 2026.

Aunque parece que fue ayer cuando el 4G hacía su aparición, lo cierto es que es prácticamente cosa del pasado, ya que ha dejado paso a la conectividad 5G, que aunque todavía está en desarrollo, algunas operadoras ya han comenzado a implantarlo en sus infraestructuras.

Como es el caso de Vodafone, pionera en España en mejorar su actual 4G con algunas de las ventajas como la velocidad y la conexión de la red 5G. Y es que nadie se quiere quedar atrás en la carrera por el futuro de la tecnología con el 5G que permitirá hacer realidad el internet de las cosas, la domótica o el coche autónomo.

Según Aicha Evans, máxima responsable de Comunicaciones y Dispositivos en Intel, “la tecnología 5G ya está aquí, se puede ver en las redes, en la nube y en los diferentes dispositivos. A medida que la movilidad se expande más allá de los smartphones, las comunicaciones 5G se convertirán en una de las trasformaciones tecnológicas más impactantes, ya que van a proporcionar la próxima generación de experiencias, incluyendo la conducción autónoma, las smart cities, el Internet de las Cosas y, por supuesto, la era de las máquinas”.

[section label=”Características de las redes 5G” anchor=”Características de las redes 5G”]

Características de las redes 5G

Esta tecnología, que por ahora sigue en fases tempranas de desarrollo, comenzará a desplegarse comercialmente en los próximos cincos años. La era 5G tiene como pieza central unas redes potentes y flexibles que conectarán todo a todo y todas las cosas a todo el mundo.

Sus efectos se notarán en velocidad, latencia, consumo y dinamismo, con el aumento de velocidad, el descenso de latencia, una mayor duración de batería y las capacidades de provisión dinámica correspondientes que necesitan los proveedores móviles para satisfacer expectativas.

Asimismo, permitirá nuevas transformaciones tecnológicas, desde el suministro de mercancías mediante el uso de drones a los vehículos de conducción autónoma. La gran diferencia con la tecnología 5G es que, cuando comienzas a hablar de “autonomía” y de fábricas, vehículos y hospitales que piensan por sí mimos, todas estas innovaciones se basan en una conectividad súper inmediata que no tienen espacio para el error.

Además el 5G no sólo permitirá a los proveedores de telecomunicaciones ofrecer las mejores experiencias de los clientes y aumentar los ingresos, sino que también tendrá un impacto positivo en las economías y sociedades.

A todo esto hay que añadir que el 5G será 10 veces más eficiente energéticamente que el 4G en cinco años, según el informe anual de Sostenibilidad y Responsabilidad Corporativa de Ericsson.

[section label=”Aplicaciones del 5G” anchor=”Aplicaciones del 5G”]

Aplicaciones del 5G

Una muestra del potencial del 5G está en los coches autónomos. Telefónica y Ericsson realizaron la primera demostración mundial de conducción remota con esta tecnología, con la que buscaron demostrar la confiabilidad de las redes de la próxima generación. De acuerdo con la empresa, esto permitirá revolucionar el control del tráfico en todos los aspectos.

La tecnología 5G proporciona el siguiente nivel de experiencia, así como la capacidad de ofrecer servicios de forma más rápida, con mayor flexibilidad y personalizados para aplicaciones específicas. Más allá de nuevas capacidades de radio, tratamos de mostrar los nuevos paradigmas en las arquitecturas de red”, dijo Enrique Blanco, CTO global de Telefónica.

Por  otra parte, la tecnología 5G se trata de redes de quinta generación, es decir, mucho más rápidas, hasta cien veces más, que las actuales redes 4G. Hay sectores que creen poder alcanzar y sostener velocidades hasta 1.000 veces más rápidas que las de hoy, con lo que en teoría sería posible descargar una película en alta resolución en apenas un segundo. Vodafone, por ejemplo, probó una red con esas características en Barcelona.

Estas velocidades son necesarias para llevar a cabo proyectos como los de los coches autónomos, las smart cities y el Internet de las Cosas. También haría posible el ‘streaming’ de video en 4k y en 8k.

[section label=”550 millones de suscriptores 5G en 2022″ anchor=”550 millones de suscriptores 5G en 2022″]

550 millones de suscriptores 5G en 2022

Según la última edición del Ericsson Mobility Report, en 2022 habrá 550 millones de suscriptores 5G. Norteamérica liderará el camino hacia la aceptación de las suscripciones 5G, donde Ericsson prevé que una cuarta parte de todas las suscripciones móviles serán de 5G en 2022. Asia Pacífico será la segunda región de más rápido crecimiento para las suscripciones 5G, con un 10% de todas las suscripciones 5G en 2022.

Captura2
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

Para finales de 2016 hubo 3.900 millones de suscripciones de teléfonos inteligentes. Casi el 90% de estas suscripciones se registraron en las redes WCDMA / HSPA y LTE. Para el 2022, se prevé que el número de suscripciones de teléfonos inteligentes llegue a 6.800 millones, con más del 95% de las suscripciones registradas en las redes WCDMA / HSPA, LTE y 5G.

“Casi el 90% de las suscripciones de teléfonos inteligentes están en las redes 3G y 4G hoy en día y se espera que las redes 5G estandarizadas estén disponibles en 2020“, dijo Ulf Ewaldsson, director de estrategia y tecnología de Ericsson. “Ya estamos viendo un gran interés entre los operadores en el lanzamiento de redes pre-estándar 5G”.

[section label=”El 5G tendrá un valor de 1.233 millones de dólares en 2026″ anchor=”El 5G tendrá un valor de 1.233 millones de dólares en 2026″]

El 5G tendrá un valor de 1.233 millones de dólares en 2026

Además del estudio de Mobility Report, Ericsson ha proporcionado unos datos sobre lo que se espera en un futuro de las redes 5G, y dice que este negocio tendrá un valor de 1.233 millones de dólares para el año 2026.

Ericsson ha pronosticado que de esos 1.233 millones de dólares, seguramente, el 20% vaya dirigido a los servicios públicos de energía, un 19% para la industria de fabricación, un 13% a la seguridad pública, también un 13% a la asistencia sanitaria, un 10% a los medios de comunicación y de entretenimiento, otro 10% destinado al transporte público, un 8% a la automoción, y un 6% para los servicios financieros.

Captura3
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

“El 5G será una tecnología importante para el crecimiento de la digitalización industrial, creando y mejorando casos de uso de digitalización de la industria como el sector del juego, la conducción autónoma, la cirugía robótica remota y el apoyo a la realidad aumentada en situaciones de mantenimiento y de reparación”, dijo Ericsson en su 5G Business Potential paper .

Ericsson también identificó tres categorías de casos de uso y aplicaciones para el 5G como las comunicaciones de tipo masivas de las máquinas, las comunicaciones de tipo críticas de las máquinas, y una mejora de la conectividad de la banda ancha móvil.

Aunque no se espera que los servicios de 5G estén disponibles comercialmente hasta el 2020, Ericsson ha firmado actualmente acuerdos de desarrollo con más de 30 empresas, entre ellas Verizon Communications Inc., con el proveedor japonés de telecomunicaciones NTT DoCoMo, con el gigante europeo Vodafone, y con su rival más cercano AT & T Inc.

[section label=”Intel apuesta por el 5G” anchor=”Intel apuesta por el 5G”]

Intel apuesta por el 5G

Por su parte Intel también apuesta fuerte por la tecnología 5G, ya que considera que será una de las tecnologías más destacadas del futuro.

Por un lado, Intel ha anunciado algunos de los acuerdos que ha alcanzado con otras empresas para sacar adelante el despliegue del 5G en todo el mundo. La compañía trabajará con Ericsson para lanzar el 5GI, una iniciativa orientada a encontrar soluciones para el 5G del Internet de las Cosas dentro del sector industrial.

También ha alcanzado acuerdos con Nokia, incluyendo la apertura de dos laboratorios para probar todas las novedades de esta conectividad. Con Nokia, Intel impulsa la solución Nokia 5G FIRST que debería comenzar a dar frutos a partir de verano

Por otra parte, en 2018, Intel y KT llevarán a cabo pruebas 5G para optimizar la tecnología inalámbrica y los dispositivos, así como las plataformas de red virtual, aunando esfuerzos en la búsqueda de estandarización.

Además de estas alianzas, Intel ha presentado un nuevo catálogo de productos con conectividad 5G, los cuales fueron presentados en la MWC 2017, y que completan así, junto con el Intel® 5G Modem presentado en el Consumer Electronics Show (CES), los productos que Intel está desarrollando hasta ahora.

En esta edición del MWC 2017 Intel Intel presentó una nueva generación de la Mobile Trial Platform, la cual puede alcanzar los 3 Gbps de transferencia de datos (vía OTA, es decir, Over-The-Air) en la frecuencia de los 100-800MHz. Presentó también un nuevo módem, Intel XMM 7560, el cual permitirá alcanzar velocidades LTE de Categoría 16 (más de 1 Gbps) bajo un proceso de fabricación de 14 nanómetros de la propia Intel.

Además los propios procesadores de Intel también se van a adaptar a esta nueva conectividad, y mostró durante el MWC 2017 buena parte de su catálogo de soluciones para las empresas que quieran incorporar un procesador en un dispositivo con 5G. Eso incluye el procesador Intel Atom C3000, la familia de los Intel Xeon D-1500 para las redes o el adaptador de Ethernet Intel XXV710. Estos productos formarán parte de lo que la compañía llama “soluciones de extremo a extremo”.

ERICSSON. Ericsson mobility report: on the pulse of the networked society. Noviembre de 2016. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: https://www.ericsson.com/assets/local/mobility-report/documents/2016/ericsson-mobility-report-november-2016.pdf

SILICON. El negocio de 5G alcanzará un valor de 1.200 millones de dólares para 2026. 27 de febrero de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://www.silicon.es/negocio-5g-alcanzara-valor-1-200-millones-dolares-2026-2329979

ZDNET. 5G industry to be worth $1.2 trillion by 2026: Ericsson. 27 de febrero de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://www.zdnet.com/article/5g-industry-to-be-worth-1-2-trillion-by-2026-ericsson/

BLOOMBERG. Ericsson CEO Says Cloud Capability Key to Capturing 5G Market. 27 de febrero de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-27/ericsson-ceo-says-cloud-capability-key-to-capturing-5g-market

INTEL. Intel acelera el futuro del 5G. 21 de febrero de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://newsroom.intel.es/news-releases/intel-acelera-futuro-del-5g/

INTEL. Intel acelera el futuro mediante el primer módem 5G global. 05 de enero de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://newsroom.intel.es/news-releases/intel-acelera-futuro-mediante-primer-modem-5g-global/

SILICON. A fondo: Intel lo apuesta todo al 5G. 03 de marzo de 2017. [consultado 03-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://www.silicon.es/a-fondo-intel-mwc-2017-5g-2330334

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