En el 2020 el tráfico cloud se multiplicará por cuatro

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CLAVES:

  • El tráfico cloud global se multiplicará por cuatro en los próximos cinco años, alcanzando un total de 14,1 Zettabytes (ZB) anuales en 2020.
  • En 2020, el 92 por ciento de las cargas de trabajo serán procesadas en data centers Cloud, mientras el 8 por ciento restante será procesado en data centers tradicionales.
  • En 2020, el 68 por ciento (298 millones) de las cargas de trabajo Cloud serán procesadas en data centers Cloud públicos.
  • El Big Data alcanzará los 247 EB en 2020, multiplicándose casi por diez desde los 25 EB en 2015.
  • Los centros de datos de hiperescala crecerán desde los 259 contabilizados en 2015 hasta los 485 en 2020.

En los últimos años, la industria de las telecomunicaciones ha visto evolucionar la adopción de la nube de una tecnología emergente a una solución de redes establecida que está ganando una amplia aceptación y despliegue. Las organizaciones empresariales y gubernamentales están pasando de entornos de prueba a ubicar la mayoría de sus cargas de trabajo críticas en la nube.

Para los consumidores, los servicios en la nube ofrecen acceso omnipresente a contenidos y servicios, en múltiples dispositivos y entregados en casi cualquier lugar donde se encuentren los usuarios de la red.

En un reciente informe de Cisco Systems se identifica que las siguientes tendencias importantes en el centro de datos y la creación de redes en la nube están acelerando el crecimiento del tráfico, cambiando la experiencia del usuario final y colocando nuevos requisitos y demandas en infraestructuras basadas en centros de datos y en la nube.

[section label=”Crecimiento del tráfico en los centros de datos” anchor=”Crecimiento del tráfico en los centros de datos”]

Crecimiento del tráfico en los centros de datos

Los centros de datos están en el centro de la prestación de servicios de IT y proporcionan almacenamiento, comunicaciones y redes al creciente número de dispositivos, usuarios y procesos de negocio en la red en general. La creciente importancia de la analítica de datos se ha sumado al valor y al crecimiento de los centros de datos.

Los centros de datos tocan casi todos los aspectos de una empresa, ya sean datos internos, relacionados con los empleados, comunicación o procesos, o información y servicios orientados a socios y clientes. El uso eficiente y eficaz de la tecnología de los centros de datos, como la virtualización, las nuevas arquitecturas basadas en software, las herramientas de gestión y el uso de los recursos públicos y privados, etc., pueden contribuir a la agilidad, el éxito y la diferenciación competitiva de una empresa.

El mayor énfasis en la agilidad empresarial y la optimización de costes ha llevado al crecimiento de los centros de datos en la nube (data centers cloud). La adopción de la nube permite una entrega más rápida de servicios y datos, un mayor rendimiento de las aplicaciones y una mayor eficiencia operativa.

[section label=”Centro de datos de hiperescala” anchor=”Centro de datos de hiperescala”]

Centro de datos de hiperescala

La creciente necesidad de centros de datos y recursos en la nube, tanto desde el punto de vista de los servicios al consumidor como de los negocios, ha llevado al desarrollo de data centers cloud públicos de gran escala, denominados centros de datos de hiperescala. Los operadores de la nube de hiperescala están dominando cada vez más el paisaje de la nube.

Estos centros de datos de hiperescala crecerán desde los 259 contabilizados a finales de 2015 hasta los 485 en 2020. Representarán el 47% de todos los servidores de centros de datos instalados en 2020.

Captura1
Fuente: Cisco

Además se prevé que el tráfico de los centros de datos de hiperescala se multiplique por cinco en los próximos 5 años, de forma que supondrán el 47 por ciento del total de servidores instalados en data centers y soportarán el 53 por ciento de todo el tráfico data center en 2020.

Captura2
Fuente: Cisco

Una tendencia clave que está transformando los centros de datos de hiperescala (y otros) es la adopción de soluciones Software-Defined Networking (SDN) y de virtualización de funciones de red (NFV, Network Functions Virtualization), ayudando a flexibilizar las arquitecturas de data center y a optimizar el flujo de tráfico.

Se prevé que en los próximos cinco años casi el 60 por ciento de los centros de datos de hiperescala a escala global implementen soluciones SDN/NFV. En 2020, el 44 por ciento del tráfico entre los centros de datos estará soportado por plataformas SDN/NFV (23 por ciento en 2015).

Captura3
Fuente: Cisco

[section label=”Crecimiento del tráfico global de los centros de datos” anchor=”Crecimiento del tráfico global de los centros de datos”]

Crecimiento del tráfico global de los centros de datos

El tráfico cloud global pasará de los 3,9 Zettabytes (ZB) registrados en 2015 a los 14,1 ZB anuales en 2020, lo que significa que prácticamente se cuadruplicará en seis años.

Captura5
Fuente: Cisco

Esto quiere decir que en 2020, el tráfico de datos global en la nube representará más del 92% del tráfico total del centro de datos.

Captura4
Fuente: Cisco

Esto se deberá a la creciente migración a arquitecturas cloud por su rápida escalabilidad y la capacidad de soportar mayor cantidad de cargas de trabajo de forma más eficiente que los data centers tradicionales. Estos factores conducen a un mejor rendimiento, así como a una mayor capacidad y rendimiento.

[section label=”Cargas de trabajo” anchor=”Cargas de trabajo”]

Cargas de trabajo

Una carga de trabajo del servidor se define como un conjunto virtual o físico de recursos informáticos, incluido el almacenamiento, que están asignados para ejecutar una aplicación específica o proporcionar servicios informáticos para uno a muchos usuarios. Una carga de trabajo es una medida general utilizada para describir muchas aplicaciones diferentes.

De esta forma, el informe de Cisco confirma que, en 2020, el 92% de las cargas de trabajo serán procesadas en centros de datos cloud, mientras que el resto se hará en data centers tradicionales.

Captura6
Fuente: Cisco

Uno de los principales factores que impulsan la migración de las cargas de trabajo de los centros de datos tradicionales a los centros de datos en la nube es por un mayor grado de virtualización en el espacio de la nube, lo que permite el despliegue dinámico de cargas de trabajo en la nube para satisfacer la demanda dinámica de servicios en la nube.

Este mayor grado de virtualización en los centros de datos en la nube puede expresarse como densidad de carga de trabajo. La densidad de carga de trabajo mide el número medio de cargas de trabajo por servidor físico.

La densidad de carga de trabajo de los servidores en la nube crecerá de 7,3 en 2015 a 11,9 en 2020. En comparación con la densidad de carga de trabajo en servidores de centros de datos tradicionales que crecerá de un 2,2 en 2015 a 3,5 en 2020.

Captura7
Fuente: Cisco

Por otro lado, el cloud público crecerá más rápidamente que el privado. De hecho, en 2020, el 68% (298 millones) de las cargas de trabajo cloud serán procesadas en centros de datos cloud públicos, mientras que en 2015 fue el 49% (66,3 millones), lo que se traducirá en una tasa de incremento interanual del 35%.

Captura8
Fuente: Cisco

[section label=”Almacenamiento en la nube” anchor=”Almacenamiento en la nube”]

Almacenamiento en la nube

Otro de los aspectos que aborda el informe de Cisco es el almacenamiento, cuya capacidad crecerá para responder a la migración de datos de consumo desde los dispositivos al cloud. En 2020, la capacidad de almacenamiento instalado en los data centers aumentará hasta 1,8 ZB, frente a los 382 Exabytes (EB) en 2015, multiplicándose casi por cinco. La nube representará el 88% de la capacidad total de almacenamiento, frente al 64,9% en 2015.

Captura9
Fuente: Cisco

Asimismo, en 2020, la capacidad total de almacenamiento instalado en los data centers cloud a escala global se quintuplicarán para llegar a 915 EB en 2020, 5,3 veces más (un CAGR del 40%) de 171 EB en 2015.

Captura10
Fuente: Cisco

[section label=”El Big Data” anchor=”El Big Data”]

El Big Data

Claro que parte de culpa de este aumento en el almacenamiento la tiene el Big Data y el Internet de las Cosas. El volumen de Big Data será tal que será necesario incrementar la capacidad de almacenamiento de los centros de datos tradicionales y los de tipo cloud.

En el primer caso, el Big Data alcanzará los 247 EB en 2020, multiplicándose casi por diez partiendo de los 25 EB de 2015. Solamente el Big Data supondrá el 27% de todos los datos almacenados en data centers en 2020, frente al 15% en 2015.

Captura11
Fuente: Cisco

[section label=”El Internet de las Cosas” anchor=”El Internet de las Cosas”]

El Internet de las Cosas

Los servicios en la nube se aceleran en parte por las cantidades sin precedentes de datos generados no sólo por personas, sino también por máquinas y cosas.

Por su parte, los datos generados (pero no necesariamente almacenados) por el IoT (personas, máquinas y cosas) alcanzarán los 600 ZB anuales en 2020, 275 veces más que el tráfico previsto viajando desde los data centers hasta los usuarios/dispositivos finales (2,2 ZB); y 39 veces más que todo el tráfico data center previsto (15,3 ZB).

Captura12
Fuente: Cisco

De acuerdo a Rodolfo Molina, director senior de cloud (la nube) y gestión de servicios de Cisco para Latam, actualmente un avión 787 de Aeroméxico produce 40 terabytes al día y solamente un 1 por ciento de esa información viaja a un centro de datos.

“Eso significa que hay una gran cantidad de información de datos que se crean en el mundo y que todavía no vemos el impacto de su transmisión a un ‘data center’, pero que lo vamos a ver”, mencionó Molina en entrevista con El Financiero.

DOCUMENTO COMPLETO: Cisco Global Cloud Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2015-2020

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CISCO. Cisco Global Cloud Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2015-2020. 2016. [consultado 17-11-2016]. Disponible en: http://www.cisco.com/c/dam/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/global-cloud-index-gci/white-paper-c11-738085.pdf

THE WHIR. By 2020, 92 Percent of All Data Center Traffic Will be Cloud. 11 de noviembre del 2016. [consultado 17-11-2016]. Disponible en: http://www.thewhir.com/web-hosting-news/by-2020-92-percent-of-all-data-center-traffic-will-be-cloud

TICBEAT. El tráfico cloud se multiplicará por cuatro en 2020. 15 de noviembre del 2016. [consultado 17-11-2016]. Disponible en: http://www.ticbeat.com/tecnologias/el-trafico-cloud-se-multiplicara-por-cuatro-en-2020/

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