La IA y la realidad virtual tendrán un papel importante en la sociedad del 2017

2015
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CLAVES:

  • El informe anual de Ericsson sobre las tendencias tecnológicas revela que la IA y la realidad virtual tendrán un papel prominente en la sociedad y en el trabajo en 2017.
  • El 35% de los usuarios encuestados quieren un asesor de IA en el trabajo, y uno de cada cuatro le gustaría tener a IA como su manager.
  • Las aplicaciones en tiempo real estarán ampliamente habilitadas por las redes “5G”.
  • La fusión de la realidad y una realidad personal aumentada podría permitir interfaces de usuario móviles muy interesantes que combinen VR/AR con IA.

La Inteligencia Artificial y la realidad virtual estarán a la vanguardia en 2017. Estas son algunas de las conclusiones del informe anual de Ericsson que analiza las tendencias tecnológicas en 2017 con las expectativas de los consumidores

El informe revela que la IA y la realidad virtual tendrán un papel mucho más prominente tanto en la sociedad como en el trabajo en 2017. La realidad virtual será indistinguible de la realidad física en un futuro próximo, y la IA se hará cargo de las oficinas como gerentes. Más de un tercio de los encuestados cree que no habrá privacidad digital en el futuro.

El informe está basado principalmente en una encuesta online a 7.138 usuarios expertos en Internet, y que se llevó a cabo en octubre de 2016, en Berlín, Chicago, Jakarta, Johannesburgo, Londres, Ciudad de México, Moscú, Nueva York, San Francisco, São Paulo, Shanghai, Sydney, Tokio y Toronto.

Al decir usuarios expertos en Internet, quiere decir usuarios con conocimientos avanzados en las nuevas tecnologías digitales como los fitness trackers, smartwatches o auriculares de realidad virtual.

[section label=”Real Time” anchor=”Real Time”]

Real Time

Internet ha cambiado, ha pasado de ser una fuente dónde predominaba el texto a que el 70% esté compuesto de vídeos. Según el informe de Ericsson el consumo del vídeo online va aumentando cada vez más con el paso de los años, además de que cada vez más se pueden ver vídeos en tiempo real, como las videollamadas, los juegos en línea o las trasmisiones en vivo (Facebook Live).

A parte de todo esto, varias de las tendencias para el 2017 apuntan a que todo lo que nos rodea se interpretará mediante imágenes en movimiento, esto ocurrirá por ejemplo en el caso de los coches autónomos, los cuales podrán comprender el mundo que les rodea gráficamente, o con los robots o con las aplicaciones del Internet de las Cosas (IoT).

Captura1
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

Las aplicaciones en tiempo real estarán ampliamente habilitadas por redes “5G”, que vendrán con una capacidad de ultra alta capacidad y unos requisitos de latencia increíblemente bajos. La fusión de la realidad y una realidad personal aumentada podría permitir interfaces de usuario móviles muy interesantes que combinasen VR/AR con IA, cambiando así la forma en que se interactúa con los dispositivos.

[section label=”Inteligencia Artificial” anchor=”Inteligencia Artificial”]

Inteligencia Artificial

Tanto las posibles ventajas como los inconvenientes o los riesgos están presentes en las personas, no solo los usuarios encuestados por Ericsson están a favor de la idea de que los asistentes formen parte de su vida cotidiana, sino que además consideran que la Inteligencia Artificial puede ayudar a las empresas en el día a día y a mejorar.

El 35% de los encuestados les gustaría tener un consejero de IA en su trabajo, frente al 24% que no le gustaría. Y aunque más de dos de cada cinco están en contra, casi uno de cada cuatro incluso aceptaría tener un líder en su empresa de IA.

Pero como ya se ha mencionado al mismo tiempo que se ven los aspectos positivos, los usuarios también están preocupados por los posibles riesgos. Casi la mitad de los encuestados están preocupados de que los robots de IA reemplazarán los puestos de trabajo de muchas personas, por lo que estás perderán su empleo.

[section label=”Internet de las cosas” anchor=”Internet de las cosas”]

Internet de las cosas

El uso de aplicaciones de IoT es cada vez mayor, y los usuarios van viendo cómo ésta tecnología puede soportar sus necesidades. Hay mucha gente que tiene aplicaciones en sus smartphones que por ejemplo controlan la reproducción de música, la alarma de la casa, desbloquean automóviles o incluso conducen drones. Pero aparte de este paradigma del control remoto, los smartphones pueden llegar a ser claves para el IoT.

Dos de cada cinco de los usuarios encuestados por Ericsson creen que sus teléfonos aprenderán a realizar automáticamente las mismas actividades que ellos hacen, es decir, que podrían interactuar con una gran cantidad de dispositivos diferentes en su nombre.

Captura2
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

Uno de cada dos propietarios de teléfonos inteligentes cree que en un futuro no muy lejano se podrá hablar con los electrodomésticos.

Es posible que a muchas personas el hecho de imaginarse un futuro repleto de máquinas que realizan las mismas actividades que podemos realizar nosotros hoy en día, les parezca frío, pero el hecho está en que hoy en día las personas pasamos la gran parte de nuestro tiempo frente al ordenador o mirando la pantalla del móvil, y tener aplicaciones de IoT que realicen ciertas tareas por nosotros, podría dejarnos tiempo para hacer otras cosas.

[section label=”Coche autónomo” anchor=”Coche autónomo”]

Coche autónomo

Una de las tecnologías que más rápido está evolucionando es la del coche autónomo, y es bastante posible que el concepto de conductor tal y como se conoce hoy en día desaparezca en un futuro no muy lejano, por lo que es necesario que se vaya cambiando la perspectiva de lo que serán los conductores en el futuro del mercado del automóvil.

Además, desde que se predijo que los coches autónomos harían de la conducción compartida el modo básico de transporte, el futuro de los propietarios de coches parece también incierto.

Además de la importancia de los pasajeros y los conductores, los peatones también son muy importantes en este sector, su opinión cuenta casi incluso más debido, en gran parte, al aumento de tráfico y a que los peatones son más vulnerables al cruzar la calle que cualquier otro sujeto.

Por lo que cuando realizaron la encuesta de Ericsson el resultado fue que uno de cada cuatro peatones se sentiría más seguros si todos los coches que circularan fueran autónomos. Y el 65 por ciento de los que lo dicen prefieren también conducir un coche autónomo.

Captura3
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

Lo mismo opinan los usuarios con conocimientos avanzados en internet a los que Ericsson encuestó, pero además de esto dos de cada cinco les gustaría que su teléfono les advirtiera de posibles obstáculos en la calzada, y uno de cada tres incluso quiere letreros y luces en las aceras, todo esto con el fin de poder ayudar a los peatones a caminar más seguros y evitar que tengan pequeños accidentes al chocarse con objetos por estar, por ejemplo, mirando el móvil.

[section label=”Realidad fusionada” anchor=”Realidad fusionada”]

Realidad fusionada

A la gente le gusta la realidad virtual y la realidad aumentada pero siempre esperan más de ellas, esperan, por ejemplo, que en un futuro haya una fusión de realidades físicas, virtuales y aumentadas, derivando en una realidad sin fisuras.

La realidad virtual de hoy día crea contradicciones al no estar fusionada con el mundo real, es decir, la realidad virtual permite poder moverse por un mundo virtual, pero al bloquear la vista física, hace prácticamente imposible ir a cualquier parte del mundo real.

Aunque lo que ofrece actualmente la realidad virtual gusta a los usuarios lo que realmente esperan es que lo cotidiano se funda con la fantasía que ofrece hoy en día la realidad virtual, es decir que la realidad virtual sea prácticamente indistinguible de la realidad.

Casi cuatro de cada cinco de los que utilizan realidad virtual tanto fija como móvil creen que esta fusión será posible experimentarla en tan solo tres años, y la mitad de los encuestados están interesados en guantes o zapatos que les permita interactuar con objetos virtuales.

Captura4
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de Ericsson

[section label=”Cuerpos mal sincronizados” anchor=”Cuerpos mal sincronizados”]

Cuerpos mal sincronizados

Hay muchas personas, más de las que nos pensamos, que cada vez que tienen que coger un transporte, ya sea el tren, el avión, el autobús o el coche se ponen enfermas y de hecho una de cada cinco afirma tener náuseas o mareos cuando se sube a un coche o a un autobús, esto es lo que se llama “la enfermedad del coche”.

Conforme vayan pasando los años y los coches autónomos vayan copando las carreteras muchos consumidores creen que esto solo hará que empeorar la enfermedad del coche. Y tres de cada diez prevén que usarán pastillas para combatir esta enfermedad cuando lleguen los coches autónomos.

Pero en un futuro la “enfermedad del coche” no afectará solo a las personas cuando se suban a un coche autónomo, sino que también podría afectar a los que utilicen la realidad virtual, ya que al moverse por realidades alternas estarán engañando a los sentidos y esto puede provocar en ciertas personas mareos.

Y por estos motivos es por lo que uno de cada tres de los encuestados dijo que querían que se creasen píldoras de movimiento para la VR/AR.

[section label=”La seguridad de los dispositivos” anchor=”La seguridad de los dispositivos”]

La seguridad de los dispositivos

Hoy en día utilizamos los teléfonos móviles para todo, y los llevamos también a todas partes, más de la mitad de los usuarios de smartphones utilizan alarmas de emergencia, de seguimiento o notificaciones en sus teléfonos.

Los consumidores confían cada vez más en sus dispositivos para que les ayude a salir de ciertas situaciones peligrosas, en lugar de utilizarlos para prevenirlas; por ejemplo, si nos perdemos podemos llamar, mandar un mensaje, buscar información en Internet o utilizar el GPS.

El depender del móvil para prácticamente todo no siempre es bueno, ya que este se puede perder o se puede quedar sin batería cuando más lo necesitamos. Muchos usuarios dicen que se sienten más seguros llevando el teléfono móvil siempre encima, pero tres de cada cinco afirman haber tomado más riesgos porque dependen de su teléfono.

Los smartphones podrían ser el punto de partida en tema de seguridad ya que los wearables podrían tener también más usos a parte del de la salud y el bienestar, se podrían utilizar por ejemplo como botones de pánico o localizadores inteligentes.

[section label=”Redes sociales” anchor=”Redes sociales”]

Redes sociales

Hoy en día la gente convierte, voluntariamente, sus redes sociales en silos. Uno de cada tres afirma que su principal fuente de noticias son las redes sociales, y solo uno de cada cuatro piensa que los canales de noticias establecidos y los periódicos pueden servir para contrarrestar las noticias y completarla.

De hecho, el 28% afirma que su fuente de contactos en redes sociales es más fiable que los canales de noticias habituales como la televisión o la radio. Esto se expande al mundo de la política ya que más de uno de cada cuatro valoran más las opiniones de sus contactos que la de los políticos.

[section label=”Realidad aumentada” anchor=”Realidad aumentada”]

Realidad aumentada

A principios de 2016 muy poca gente conocía el significado de realidad aumentada, y menos eran las personas que la habían probado. Pero gracias a la aplicación de Pokémon GO la realidad aumentada estaba en boca de todos, todo el mundo empezó a conocer lo que era la realidad aumentada del día a la noche.

Ahora a los consumidores les gustaría poder usar esta tecnología para personalizar su propia experiencia de la realidad, desde sus teléfonos a sus coches. Y este deseo es el resultado de que más de la mitad de los usuarios con conocimientos avanzados en Internet deseen utilizar gafas de realidad aumentada para iluminar, por ejemplo, un entorno que está oscuro, para poder ver quién se acerca o si hay algo peligroso allí.

Esto puede cambiar la forma de percibir la realidad a nuestro alrededor, pero los consumidores no se detienen ahí y quieren además cambiar el mundo en algo que refleje sus propios estados de ánimo.

[section label=”La privacidad” anchor=”La privacidad”]

La privacidad

La privacidad es un tema muy importante y que se debate mucho, hay personas que consideran que utilizando servicios cifrados será suficiente, y otros que creen que todo el cifrado puede ser hackeado, por lo que la idea de privacidad desaparece.

La gran mayoría de las aplicaciones de mensajería que se utilizan hoy en día ofrecen un cifrado extremo, pero para un 46% esto no es suficiente, no quieren que nadie pueda acceder a sus datos.

Los consumidores se encuentran divididos con respecto a este tema, ya que, por un lado, uno de cada tres usuarios con conocimientos avanzados en Internet considera que los gobiernos deberían poder acceder a cualquier dato personal, para así poder luchar contra la delincuencia y el terrorismo. Hay que recordar que en muchas ocasiones las redes sociales han servido para poder detener a un delincuente o terrorista. Además, el 45% opina que las empresas deberían acceder a ceder los datos cuando las autoridades lo requieren.

Por otro lado, uno de cada tres cree que la privacidad ya no existe y que en el futuro toda la información sobre personas, organizaciones y gobiernos estará disponible públicamente.

[section label=”El poder de compararlo todo” anchor=”El poder de compararlo todo”]

El poder de compararlo todo

Hoy en día, y gracias a las facilidades que nos ofrecen las aplicaciones móviles e Internet los usuarios pueden comparar en cualquier momento cualquier cosa que necesiten. Desde la ubicación más rápida, hasta productos y servicios.

Según el informe de Ericsson más de dos de cada cinco usuarios con conocimientos avanzados en Internet les gustaría obtener todos sus productos de las cinco empresas más grandes de IT, y tres de cada cuatro creen que esto podría ocurrir en un plazo de cinco años.

Y como consecuencia de esto, las empresas más tradicionales necesitan reinventarse e intentar ponerse a la altura, a pesar de que estas grandes empresas están en mejor situación para poder desarrollar nuevos productos y servicios.

DOCUMENTO COMPLETO: 10 hot consumer trends 2017

Captura5

ERICSSON. 10 hot consumer trends 2017. Diciembre de 2016. [consultado 29-12-2016]. Disponible en: https://www.ericsson.com/assets/local/networked-society/consumerlab/reports/ten-hot-consumer-trends-2017-ericsson-consumerlab.pdf

ERICSSON. Ericsson’s 10 hot consumer trends for 2017: AI and virtual reality. 6 de diciembre de 2016. [consultado 29-12-2016]. Disponible en: https://www.ericsson.com/news/2061930

RCR WIRELESS NEWS. Ericsson’s 10 hot consumer trends for 2017: AI and virtual reality. 6 de diciembre de 2016. [consultado 29-12-2016]. Disponible en: https://www.ericsson.com/news/2061930

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