La inteligencia artificial desembarca en el mundo del asesoramiento financiero

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CLAVES:

  • Los nuevos productos de inteligencia artificial aplicada al mundo del asesoramiento financiero son una tendencia por explotar de la que vamos a oír hablar cada vez más en los próximos tiempos.
  • Las previsiones apuntan a un auge muy fuerte de este tipo de herramientas para el año 2020.
  • Ya se están lanzando al mercado sistemas que utilizan el procesamiento de lenguaje natural, la analítica predictiva y de sentimientos o el análisis de clusters en tiempo real, cuyo objetivo es ayudar en la toma de decisiones financieras y la búsqueda de oportunidades de inversión.
  • Estas nuevas herramientas están consiguiendo además democratizar el acceso a un tipo de información que anteriormente estaba reservado únicamente a las grandes entidades financieras.

La inteligencia artificial está empezando a abarcar cualquier área que permita habilitar nuevas tecnologías para nuestro día a día, y la gestión del patrimonio y los activos personales no es una excepción.

Los asesores de las aceleradoras de empresas Fintech están aconsejando a los emprendedores abandonar la idea de crear un nuevo Bloomberg y sugieren enfocarse en su lugar en desarrollar nuevos productos de inteligencia artificial aplicada al mundo de las finanzas.

La explosión de esta nueva tendencia está todavía por llegar, según las previsiones de Bank Innovation, pero en los próximos tiempos vamos a oír hablar de ella cada vez más.

Por ejemplo, en Estados Unidos, los activos bajo gestión discrecional de los robo-advisors subieron un 57% el año pasado hasta llegar a los ocho billones de dólares. Para 2020 se espera que los activos gestionados por robots superen los dos trillones de dólares

Fuente: A.T. Kearney
A.T.KEARNEY.Hype vs. Reality: The Coming Waves of “Robo” Adoption. Junio de 2015 [consultado 29-03-2016]. Disponible en: https://www.atkearney.com/documents/10192/7132014/Hype+vs.+Reality_The+Coming+Waves+of+Robo+Adoption.pdf/9667a470-7ce9-4659-a104-375e4144421d

La tercera revolución industrial, o segunda era de las máquinas, como algunos la han venido a llamar, está introduciendo importantes cambios, tanto en los comportamientos y hábitos de los consumidores como en la tecnología aplicada a los servicios financieros. A continuación, vamos a ver algunos ejemplos de estos cambios, que nos permiten ilustrar lo que podría ser el futuro:

Procesamiento del lenguaje natural.

Kensho es una máquina que ofrece respuestas automáticas a cuestiones relacionadas con el mundo financiero. Su sistema se basa en un algoritmo de lenguaje natural capaz de resolver cuestiones relacionadas con inversiones, trading o análisis financiero.

Esta herramienta podría llegar a suponer una amenaza para los analistas financieros y gestores de activos tradicionales, cuyo trabajo podría acabar siendo suplantado por una máquina.

Sistemas como Kensho o Aylien tienen capacidad para procesar e interpretar información financiera con más rapidez que una persona y además permiten extraer valor a partir de texto (noticias, presentaciones a los medio, documentos e informes de negocio, investigaciones de mercado, etc) utilizando técnicas de aprendizaje automático.

En el siguiente vídeo, el fundador de Aylien explica, para IrishStartupTV, cómo funciona su sistema:

Un dato importante es que la startup Kensho, con base en Cambridge, obtuvo el año pasado una primera ronda de financiación de 15 millones de dólares por parte de Goldman Sachs. Recientemente veíamos cómo Goldman Sachs está apostando decididamente por el mundo de los robo-advisors y el asesoramiento automatizado:

Documento relacionado en Thinknowa:

Otra empresa, Sensai, con base en Palo Alto, también utiliza lenguaje natural para ayudar a las compañías a analizar datos poco estructurados, a partir de documentos corporativos, transcripciones y redes sociales.

Análisis de sentimientos.

Sentifi es una empresa suiza que utiliza algoritmos de crowdsourcing para ofrecer asesoramiento en materia de inversiones a grandes instituciones financieras, así como agencias de medios del sector financiero. Su sistema está basado en el análisis de sentimientos mediante procesamiento de lenguaje natural (NLP) y estadísticas, así como en técnicas de machine learning.

Amareos, desde Hong Kong, también tiene como objetivo ayudar a la toma de decisiones financieras basadas en el análisis de sentimientos (heatmaps y visualización de datos) con una inclinación hacia la analítica e indicadores utilizados en los sistemas de negociación y seguimiento del riesgo.

Este tipo de sistemas rastrean de forma automática en una gran cantidad de fuentes (estudios de mercado, informes de analistas, foros, artículos, noticias y opiniones en redes sociales, etc) para extraer una serie de indicadores de sentimiento que pueden ayudar a tomar, por ejemplo, decisiones en materia de inversión.

En el caso de Amareos, además son socios de otras compañías de análisis financiero como por ejemplo la conocida Thomson Reuters, de la cual extraen también los datos como fuente de información.

Otra empresa similar, que combina el análisis de sentimientos con el crowdsourcing de datos, es Running Alpha. Su objetivo es también ayudar en la toma de decisiones financieras y de inversión mediante la anticipación de tendencias. Ofrecen dos productos de heatmapping muy sofisticados mediante un sistema de suscripción, principalmente para ser utilizados por gestores de activos que necesitan obtener conclusiones de una ingente maraña de datos e información desestructurada.

Analítica predictiva.

EidoSearch es una empresa canadiense que utiliza patrones avanzados de reconocimiento automático mediante el procesamiento de grandes volúmenes de datos (crowdsourcing). Con este sistema generan análisis predictivos basados en probabilidad. Recientemente han anunciado un acuerdo de colaboración con Stocktwits, con la finalidad de mejorar su generación de ideas y sus capacidades en materia de gestión de riesgos, proporcionando una vía para descubrir nuevas oportunidades de inversión antes de que tengan un precio definido en el mercado.

I know First, por su parte, ofrece previsiones sobre inversión en base a un algoritmo avanzado de auto-aprendizaje automático. Su analítica predictiva se basa también en la inteligencia artificial y el Machine Learning con elementos también de las llamadas redes neuronales y algoritmos genéticos. Los resultados se visualizan a través del móvil, lo cual es una herramienta muy útil para traders que han de estar en constante movimiento.

Búsqueda de clusters en tiempo real.

Para los traders profesionales es importante también estar alerta de los acontecimientos oscuros y eventos rápidos, como aquellos que están ocultos en el trading HTF, las tarjetas flash y otras actividades. La investigación de AbleMarkets está dirigida a gestores de fondos, brokers y otros responsables de gestión de activos.

Otra startup, con base en UK, AlgoDynamix tiene por objetivo avisar sobre posibles caídas en los mercados y anticiparse a posibles pérdidas en las ventas. Para ello, procesa datos en tiempo real sobre tipos de cambio, busca patrones de comportamiento y grupos de inversores (o clusters) que puedan estar saliendo de una determinada inversión, etc. Digamos que es una herramienta que trata de ofrecer, de forma clara y visual, señales de cuando una inversión está yendo por el buen o mal camino.

Esta es sólo una pequeña parte de los enormes cambios que progresivamente están llegando al mundo de la automatización en materia de asesoramiento financiero. Basándose en algoritmos, procesamiento de lenguaje natural, análisis de sentimientos y comportamientos, reconocimiento de patrones y analítica predictiva, todas estas nuevas herramientas están consiguiendo además democratizar el acceso a un tipo de información que anteriormente estaba reservado únicamente a las grandes entidades financieras.

BANK INNOVATION. AI in Digital Wealth Management: Sniffing out investment opportunities. 22 de Marzo de 2016 [consultado 29-03-2016]. Disponible en: http://bankinnovation.net/2016/03/ai-in-digital-wealth-mgt-sniffing-out-investment-opportunities/

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