Los robots se convertirán en la principal fuente de mano de obra dentro de una década

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CLAVES:

  • Gartner sugiere que uno de cada tres trabajos será sustituido por robots, software y máquinas inteligentes en el año 2025.
  • Lo realmente novedoso es que la irrupción de los robots como nueva mano de obra se extiende a todos los sectores.
  • Las cadenas de trabajo del futuro estarán compuestas tanto de trabajo virtual como de trabajo humano, trabajando codo con codo para alcanzar objetivos.
  • Es un avance beneficioso para los trabajadores, porque elimina tareas mundanas y poco estimulantes, y para las empresas, porque las provee de mano de obra barata y disponible las 24 horas del día.

Mucha gente se pregunta si un robot acabará sustituyéndole en el trabajo. No es algo nuevo, pero si las predicciones de Gartner se cumplen, la respuesta se inclina definitivamente hacia el sí. La compañía de análisis sugiere que uno de cada tres trabajos será sustituido por robots, software y máquinas inteligentes en el año 2025.

GARTNER. Driving Digital Business. 2014 [Consultado 18-01-2016]. Disponible en: https://www.gartner.com/binaries/content/assets/events/keywords/symposium/sym25/gartner-sym24-executive-report2.pdf

Lo realmente novedoso es que la irrupción de los robots como nueva mano de obra, ya no es una preocupación limitada a fábricas, con cadenas de montaje y procesos mecánicos, sino que se extiende a todos los sectores: los coches autónomos de Google o los drones, por ejemplo, podrían remplazar a los repartidores de Correos. Llega una nueva era caracterizada por la automatización de los procesos de extremo a extremo, y que tendrá consecuencias en todos los sectores: desde los trabajadores de fábrica, hasta los asesores del conocimiento, pasando por los empleados del sector económico.

Incluso la definición de “robot” ha tenido que evolucionar para mantenerse al nivel alcanzado por progreso humano en esta área. Históricamente, se ha concebido a los robots como máquinas parecidas a un hombre capaces de reproducir ciertos movimientos y funciones de forma automática. Sin embargo, las aplicaciones de la inteligencia artificial han ido un paso más allá, como puede verse en el robot Amelia, o mejor todavía, la batalla entre Ken Jennings y Watson, de IBM. Más recientemente, una tercera ola de evolución de la robótica ha dado lugar a robots de software, que se alimentan de datos y sustituyen a los humanos en la realización de muchas tareas básicas.

La integración del software y el hardware en los robots será posible gracias al cloud computing, pero también por el avance exponencial que estamos observando en el sector tecnológico“, explicaban los profesores Leslie Willcocks y Mary Lacity. “Pero nunca hay que creerse las expectativas, nada es perfecto, y algunas aplicaciones irán en una dirección distinta a la que hoy podemos prever. Así es la historia de la tecnología“.

Esta nueva era es lo que los miembros de MIT, Erik Brynjolfsson y Andrew McAfee, llaman la “segunda era de las máquinas“. Un tiempo en el que las fuerzas tecnológicas están impulsando la reinvención de la economía, y empresas e individuos deben aprender a competir con las máquinas si quieren garantizar la prosperidad futura. Pero no se trata de competir de cualquier modo, no es un tipo cualquiera de carrera. Es, más bien, una cadena de relevos, con cadenas de trabajo compuestas tanto de trabajo virtual como de trabajo humano, trabajando codo con codo para alcanzar objetivos, ya sea la fabricación de un coche, el procesamiento de un pago, o la implementación de un servicio.

En última instancia es siempre beneficioso para los humanos, porque pueden eliminar tareas mundanas poco productivas de sus rutinas diarias, para centrarse en las más atractivas y estimulantes. Las empresas también se beneficiarán de esto: es una mano de obra disponible las 24 horas del día, más barata y con una bajísima tasa de equivocación.

Quizás no haya mejor ejemplo de cómo la robótica podría brindarnos una mayor prosperidad económica en el futuro que Uber. Antes, la gente llamaba a una empresa de taxis, hablaba con un operador, era recogido por un taxista y realizaba el pago en efectivo. Ahora, el viaje es reservado a través de una aplicación, pagado a través de una transferencia virtual, y el conductor constituye la única interacción personal, lo cual también parece tener los días contados con la aparición del coche autónomo.

La formación y gestión de la fuerza de trabajo humana siempre ha sido un quebradero de cabeza para las empresas, por no hablar de los problemas regulatorios y políticos que generan las leyes laborales. Los robots, en cambio, no plantean ninguno de estos problemas: serán esenciales para la supervivencia de la economía.

Sea como sea, en unos años viviremos en una nueva realidad caracterizada por la colaboración entre humanos y robots, que trabajarán juntos. El hardware y el software impulsarán el trabajo virtual como core de las nuevas cadenas de producción, en las que la intervención humana será mínima, y estará alejada de tareas mundanas y aburridas como las que copan hoy gran parte del tiempo de los trabajadores.

En última instancia, lo que la primera oleada de robots hizo por la industria del automóvil a partir de la década de 1960, la próxima era de la automatización robótica, en forma de trabajo virtual, lo hará para la economía del siglo XXI.

TECHCRUNCH. Will Robots Save The Future Of Work?. 15 de enero de 2016 [Consultado 18-01-2016]. Disponible en: http://techcrunch.com/2016/01/15/will-robots-save-the-future-of-work/

Llegados a este punto, podría ser interesante analizar el caso particular de tres empresas que están situadas a la vanguardia de esta revolución, y han optimizado sus cadenas de valor a través de la mano de obra robótica.

El drone de Starship

Starship Technologies, la nueva empresa creada por los co-fundadores de Skype, está revolucionando el reparto de paquetes y correspondencia. Estos drones se encargan de entregar paquetes pequeños en casas urbanas, sin intervención humana. Operan de forma autónoma el 99% del tiempo, y cada robot utiliza su software de navegación para determinar la ubicación exacta de la casa, y su cámara y radar para evitar obstáculos. Además, planean incorporar altavoces y micrófonos para poder mantener conversaciones con los humanos, y un sistema para subir escaleras.

Tally, el robot del comercio minorista

No deberíamos sorprendernos cuando, en unos años, nos encontremos en el supermercado con un robot cilíndrico y silencioso que escanea las estanterías. Este es el proyecto de Simbe Robotics, una startup de Silicon Valley cuyo robot, llamado Tally, monitoriza el inventario de la tienda para mantener el abastecimiento y asegurarse de que los productos estén correctamente colocados y tengan el precio adecuado. Puede escanear más de 15.000 artículos por hora, muchísimo más que cualquier humano.

Asimismo, envía todos los datos que recoge a la nube, y en base al análisis de esos datos, presenta recomendaciones a la empresa a través de una aplicación móvil. Otras ventajas son que Tally no necesita de una infraestructura especial para realizar su trabajo, sino que puede funcionar de forma segura entre los clientes y el personal, durante el horario laboral, en cualquier tienda normal. Y al igual que el iRobot de Roomba, vuelve solo a su base de carga cuando le queda poca batería.

Prospero, el robot sembrador

La población humana no para de aumentar, lo cual afecta a nuestra capacidad para crecer de manera eficiente y aumentar la producción de alimentos. La industria agrícola tendrá que alimentar a 9 mil millones de personas en el año 2050, por lo que David Dorhour, un inventor de Iowa, está creando unos robots que podrían revolucionar la cosecha.

Prospero, así se llama el prototipo inicial, es un pequeño robot de seis patas que, junto a unos cientos de otros robots idénticos, se dedica a recorrer las tierras de cultivo introduciendo una semilla a la profundidad exacta cada vez que detecta una zona sin sembrar. Después, rocía el área con fertilizantes y nutrientes, cubre la semilla, e inyecta a la tierra un fluido que permitirá a los otros robots saber que esta pequeña zona ya ha sido sembrada.

Además, los robots Prospero se intercomunicarán por radio, de forma que si alguno se encuentra con una zona especialmente difícil o en la que deben sembrarse muchas semillas, podrá pedir ayuda a otros robots.

TECHCRUNCH. Autonomous Robots Are Changing The Way We Build And Move Products Around The World. 18 de enero de 2016 [Consultado 18-01-2016]. Disponible en: http://techcrunch.com/2016/01/17/autonomous-robots-are-changing-the-way-we-build-and-move-products-around-the-world/

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    Certainly, these products are legal products that don’t have any
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    It belongs to the chopping class and is the most well-liked on this class with the most important gross sales!

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    However, do pick the right authorized steroid for the best objective and read the critiques of the product you might be contemplating to buy before making
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    AAS are consumed by elite athletes competing in sports
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    Male leisure athletes take AAS to achieve an “enhanced” physical look.
    Development of breast tissue in males, a situation referred to as gynecomastia ,
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    Another male-specific facet-impact that may occur is testicular atrophy, caused by the suppression of pure
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    This aspect-effect is short-term; the dimensions of the testicles
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    regular manufacturing of sperm resumes. Testosterone may be administered parenterally, however it has
    more irregular extended absorption time and greater activity in muscle in enanthate,
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    be desirable in order to keep a extra fixed stage of hormone in the system.

    Crazy Bulk authorized steroids are protected and you may understand it from here that you just don’t want a prescription in order to
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