El gasto en aplicaciones móviles superará los 139 mil millones en 2021

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CLAVES:

  • App Annie espera que las descargas en app stores de aplicaciones móviles mundiales superen los 352.000 millones en 2021.
  • También se espera que el gasto de los consumidores en todo el mundo supere los 139.000 millones de dólares en 2021.
  • Se prevé que la iOS App Store seguirá siendo la tienda de aplicaciones más lucrativa durante el período de previsión, generando más de 60.000 millones de dólares en gastos brutos en 2021.
  • China continuará siendo el mayor mercado para el gasto global de aplicaciones de app store, superando los 56.000 millones de dólares en 2021.

De acuerdo con un nuevo informe elaborado por la firma de investigación App Annie, el mercado de las aplicaciones para dispositivos móviles continuará su incesante expansión a lo largo de este año 2017 y mucho más allá.

La firma líder del sector pronostica que los mercados verán un crecimiento más rápido, así como una evolución y una maduración de las métricas de descarga y de los ingresos en los principales mercados emergentes y desarrollados.

El futuro de la economía de las aplicaciones es brillante, y en App Annie esperan que el gasto de los consumidores en todo el mundo supere los $139.000 millones de dólares en 2021.

[section label=”Crecen los ingresos de las app stores” anchor=”Crecen los ingresos de las app stores”]

Crecen los ingresos de las app stores

En el estudio de la prestigiosa firma de investigación App Annie, se pronostica que las descargas de aplicaciones móviles globales en todas las app stores aumentarán a una tasa de crecimiento anual del 19% para alcanzar los 352.000 millones en 2021, mientras que la inversión global crecerá un 18% hasta alcanzar los $139.100 millones en 2021.

El crecimiento de las app stores es impresionante, además se trata de una pieza de la economía de las aplicaciones móviles junto con la publicidad en las aplicaciones y los ingresos del comercio móvil que continúan su aumento en paralelo.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

APAC seguirá siendo la región más grande en cuanto a descargas e ingresos hasta el año 2021, con 76.500 millones, con China como líder. Americas aportará 35.100 millones frente a los 14.200 millones de 2016 y los 19.100 millones previstos para 2017. Entre todas las regiones gastarán 82.200 millones este año.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos (1)
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

Con ingresos por dispositivo de casi $105, Japón seguirá siendo uno de los mercados más lucrativos, mientras que el crecimiento de la India aumentará las descargas.

Del total de las descargas en 2016 los juegos representaron el 39% de todas las descargas de aplicaciones y el 11% del tiempo dedicado a aplicaciones de Android, además generaron el 81% del gasto a través de las tiendas por parte de los consumidores.

Los juegos continuarán dominando los ingresos y las descargas hasta 2021, si bien las suscripciones a servicios de streaming que no son juegos continuarán experimentando un rápido crecimiento. Dado el cambio continuo del juego a la facilidad del móvil y de los consumidores con el gasto en juegos, se espera que esta categoría continúe generando la mayoría de rédito en 2021.

[section label=”Play Store no superará a la App Store de iOS” anchor=”Play Store no superará a la App Store de iOS”]

Play Store no superará a la App Store de iOS

El mercado de las aplicaciones móviles se ha convertido en la forma de vida de miles de desarrolladores de todo el mundo y, por supuesto, es una suculenta fuente de ingresos para empresas como Google, Amazon, Apple, etcétera. Y como en casi todo, también en este mercado se libra una interesante batalla repleta de competitividad de la que al final, los usuarios son los más beneficiados, aunque no en términos económicos sino de calidad.

El informe de App Annie revela que la App Store de iOS continuará manteniendo el liderazgo de los ingresos al menos, hasta el año 2021, seguida en segundo lugar por la Play Store de Google.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos3
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

El informe tiene una doble lectura con respecto a esto, ya que aunque dice que la App Store de iOS continuará siendo la tienda de aplicaciones con más ingresos durante los próximos cinco años, también dice que los ingresos procedentes de la venta de aplicaciones móviles para Android en su totalidad serán superiores a los ingresos procedentes de aplicaciones iOS por primera vez en 2017.

Si bien esto es cierto, no es menos cierto que dicha conclusión incluye la totalidad de tiendas de aplicaciones para Android, es decir, que además de la propia tienda Google Play Store, se incluyen las descargas de tiendas de aplicaciones de terceros como las operadas por  Tencent, Baidu, Xiaomi, Huawei y otros, con especial relevancia en China.

Por tanto, si bien las aplicaciones Android generarán más ingresos en su totalidad, cuando se habla de tiendas, será la tienda de aplicaciones iOS de Apple la que aún genere más ingresos que la Play Store de Google, al menos hasta el año 2021, fecha de proyección de este informe.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos (2)
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

El estudio de App Annie estima que los ingresos de la App Store alcanzarán los 60.000 millones de dólares, frente a los 42.000 millones de la Google Play Store para ese año, a los cuales habrá que añadir los 36.000 millones de dólares que generarán las tiendas de aplicaciones para dispositivos Android de terceros.

[section label=”China mantendrá el liderazgo” anchor=”China mantendrá el liderazgo”]

China mantendrá el liderazgo

El mercado de aplicaciones para Android está creciendo gracias en gran parte a la adopción móvil en China, así como a otros mercados emergentes, en particular México, Brasil e Indonesia.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos5
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

Esto afectará también a las descargas de aplicaciones. Las descargas de Android de Google Play y de otras partes se registrarán a una tasa anualizada del 23 por ciento, a 299.900 millones para el 2021. El estudio de App Annie también encontró que las descargas de aplicaciones están distribuidas de manera más uniforme entre los países de todo el mundo, pero los ingresos son otra cuestión.

De acuerdo con sus datos, los cinco principales países por descargas, China, India, Estados Unidos, Brasil e Indonesia, representaron el 54% de las descargas mundiales el año pasado, y esto no cambiará mucho hasta 2021, ya que el crecimiento en China y en la India equilibra el crecimiento fuera de los cinco primeros.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos 4
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

Sin embargo, estos cinco principales países representaron el 75% de los ingresos globales en 2016. Se espera que este número aumente al 85% en 2021 debido al aumento del gasto en juegos y suscripciones de usuarios de smartphones existentes en los mercados maduros, principalmente en China, pero también en Estados Unidos, Japón y Corea del Sur.

[section label=”Crecimiento de las descargas en China” anchor=”Crecimiento de las descargas en China”]

Crecimiento de las descargas en China

China, debido a su gran población y a su creciente clase media, sigue desempeñando un papel clave en lo referente a ingresos de las app stores, pero su mercado está madurando, señala el informe. Se espera que la mayoría de los usuarios de aplicaciones chinas las utilicen de forma habitual para el año 2021, lo que permitirá mantener el crecimiento de los ingresos.

Además, se espera que las descargas en China crezcan a una tasa anualizada de 19% desde el pasado 2016 hasta el 2021, mientras que la de los consumidores crecerá un 24 por ciento, a 56,5 mil millones de dólares. En las grandes ciudades, gran parte del mercado de smartphones en China ya está saturado, lo que significa gran parte del crecimiento llegará de otras regiones de todo el país.

La_disposicion_de_los_consumidores_a_interactuar_con_AI_en_diferentes_contextos7
Fuente: Vecdis. Datos de App Annie

India, por el contrario, todavía está en las primeras etapas del ciclo de madurez del mercado de aplicaciones, y verá una descarga significativa y un crecimiento de los ingresos hasta 2021. Las descargas crecerán un 28 por ciento a cerca de 23 mil millones en 2021 y el gasto en las app stores crecerá una tasa anual del 75% a $2.1 mil millones.

A pesar del crecimiento de la India, el gasto de los consumidores será menor en la región debido a una variedad de factores, incluyendo un poder adquisitivo más limitado y una cultura que está enfocada más hacia el ahorro que hacia el gasto en juegos o entretenimiento.

APP ANNIE. App Annie Market Forecast 2016–2021. Marzo de 2017. [consultado 31-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://files.appannie.com.s3.amazonaws.com/reports/1704_Report_Market_Forecast_EN.pdf?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTWpGalltTXdOekpqTUdFMSIsInQiOiJXdFhIOXJWbkZHREdzck9qT0lqY1wvQnE0XC8zZzRyalpyMlZ3S0NabGpPbHMxcGN6OTRBclwvWHBGXC9WSndlNjBIeVEzbklVTjltTmJCZTF2Tm1tSmtQWE1OQTJtaDNubjBUNW5VYmRBMWw2dVAxOE4zcHkzOFRHdXFwMVwvK0dZeHptIn0%3D

APP ANNIE. Forecast: Mobile App Store Revenue to Exceed $139B in 2021. 29 de marzo de 2017. [consultado 31-03-2017]. Disponible en: https://www.appannie.com/en/insights/market-data/app-annie-forecast-2017-mobile-app-store-revenue-exceed-139-billion-2021/

SILICON. El gasto en aplicaciones móviles va camino de superar los 80.000 millones de dólares anuales. 30 de marzo de 2017. [consultado 31-03-2017]. Disponible en: http://www.silicon.es/gasto-apps-moviles-2332570

TECHCRUNCH. App Annie: Android to top iOS in app store revenue this year. 30 de marzo de 2017. [consultado 31-03-2017]. Disponible en: https://techcrunch.com/2017/03/29/app-annie-android-to-top-ios-in-app-store-revenue-this-year/

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